Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.022140 0.023774 0.025475 0.027380 0.029456 0.031651 0.034153
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019445 0.021801 0.024382 0.027427 0.030933 0.034856 0.039595
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017390 0.020127 0.023239 0.027058 0.031643 0.037000 0.043776
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015761 0.018704 0.022153 0.026521 0.031946 0.038515 0.047150
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014599 0.017698 0.021423 0.026272 0.032475 0.040224 0.050763
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013625 0.016826 0.020761 0.026006 0.032893 0.041742 0.054152
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012662 0.015889 0.019933 0.025438 0.032836 0.042580 0.056628
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012156 0.015494 0.019759 0.025684 0.033832 0.044834 0.061144
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011597 0.014992 0.019401 0.025644 0.034409 0.046516 0.064933
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011225 0.014708 0.019309 0.025943 0.035450 0.048883 0.069846
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010696 0.014182 0.018854 0.025699 0.035688 0.050086 0.073078
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010260 0.013759 0.018513 0.025587 0.036094 0.051537 0.076760
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009771 0.013243 0.018023 0.025239 0.036137 0.052456 0.079695
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009442 0.012938 0.017815 0.025288 0.036773 0.054308 0.084249
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009023 0.012483 0.017368 0.024954 0.036793 0.055187 0.087248
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008590 0.011989 0.016840 0.024466 0.036539 0.055602 0.089472
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008261 0.011632 0.016496 0.024240 0.036678 0.056646 0.092835
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007949 0.011287 0.016155 0.023998 0.036771 0.057608 0.096103
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007585 0.010851 0.015657 0.023482 0.036384 0.057735 0.097862
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007432 0.010725 0.015626 0.023706 0.037228 0.059991 0.103674
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007223 0.010507 0.015440 0.023669 0.037626 0.061492 0.108173
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007099 0.010413 0.015445 0.023941 0.038560 0.063983 0.114749
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006867 0.010143 0.015162 0.023719 0.038623 0.064910 0.118323